be provided by wheat yield forecast systems, supporting the decision-making of farmers, food traders, or policymakers. In … this study, we improved a previously developed statistical wheat yield model to forecast trend-corrected wheat yield in …, NCEP, and CLIMATE respectively. Seasonal climate models can be useful tools to forecast national wheat yield, even shortly …

(DNNs), (ii) traditional panel-data models, and (iii) a new panel-data model that allows for unit and time fixed-effects in …-OLS models outperform traditional panel data models for predicting yield, both in-sample and in a Monte Carlo cross …-validation exercise. However, the MO-OLS model substantially outperforms both DNNs and traditional panel-data models in forecasting yield …