. Specifically, we estimate a series of simple models to measure the impact of inflation targeting on the dispersion of private … sector forecasts of inflation. Using a panel data set that includes 15 countries over 20 years we find no convincing evidence … that adopting an inflation targeting regime leads to a reduction in the dispersion of private sector forecasts of inflation …

Modern monetary policy focuses on credibility and shaping consumers' inflation expectations. According to the concept … of inflation forecast targeting (IFT), inflation forecasts play a crucial role in the instrument rate decision …-making process and may be a specific intermediate target. The aim of the study is to analyse the credibility of inflation forecasts …

inflation and monetary policy-relevant inflation measure (MPRI) in the central banks of Sweden, Norway and Czech Republic. The … analysis refers to the possibility of using core and MPRI inflation projections as a tool (intermediate goal) for the … implementation of Svensson's concept of optimal inflation forecast targeting strategy (IFT) and determines what the chosen central …

-term inflation target to help anchor expectations. This paper aims to document how much the release of the forecasts of one major … central bank, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), has influenced private sector expectations of inflation, and whether the degree of … influence depends to any degree on the adoption of an inflation target (IT). Consistent with earlier studies, we find the …

, commercial forecasters either under- or over- predict future inflation rates. We test whether such information can improve … inclusion of confidential supervisory information in forecasting future inflation. When the Fed receives information that …

We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation within pre-specified bounds. We …

inflation and inflation expectations in the euro area. It is part of a broader project coordinated by Bernanke and Blanchard to … provide a unified framework for analysing and comparing global inflation dynamics across the major world economic areas … conducts an empirical assessment of how euro area price inflation responds to various exogenous shocks. This includes …

Forecasts of inflation in the United States since the mid eighties have had smaller errors than in the past, but those … their own "Great Moderation." For those countries that did not attain macroeconomic stability, inflation forecasting … monetary regime does, makes possible the estimation of parsimonious inflation models for all available data (eight decades for …

This document proposes a general macroeconomic framework to analyze the behavior of inflation. This approach has two … price level. When all shocks have a permanent impact, the regime determines the inflation rate, as in inflation targeting … cause the rate of inflation or the price level. With this, a new perspective on four different historical cases emerges. One …

What is the probability of high inflation; how high, when? These questions are important to all investors since even … characterizes this as The War On Savers. Higher inflation is possible, at 4% or more, with even worse effects. There are heated … debates about the probability and timing of high inflation, but our review of the extensive literature reveals no reliable way …