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Since most official estimates of major macroeconomic variables that market participants and policy makers keenly monitor in real time come out with significant publication lags, nowcasting literature especially targeted on key macro variables has trended over the recent years. Nowcasting refers...
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In a multiperiod investment framework, firms with high expected growth earn higher expected returns than firms with low expected growth, holding investment and expected profitability constant. This paper forms cross-sectional growth forecasts, and constructs an expected growth factor that yields...
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We forecast income growth over the period 2000-2050 in the US, Canada, and France. To ground the forecasts on relationships that are as robust as possible to changes in the environment, we use a quantitative theoretical approach which consists in calibrating and simulating a general equilibrium...
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