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An examination of analysts' accuracy in predicting annual earnings for firms reporting losses and firms reporting profits finds that analysts are ten times more accurate in predicting the earnings of profit firms. They have also improved their predictive ability for profit firms since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006503
We argue that accounting conservatism makes earnings forecasting difficult by introducing transitory components in reported earnings. These transitory components are likely to be disproportionately represented in firms reporting losses. We show that analysts' mean forecast errors and absolute...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054773
Using analysts' multi-period earnings forecasts, this paper investigates whether analyst forecast errors are related to asset growth and, if so, to what extent analysts' optimism for high-growth firms can explain the asset growth anomaly. We find that analyst forecasts are more optimistic for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034419
This study examines whether firms' capital expenditure forecasts can act as a commitment to not engage in expropriation of lenders through opportunistic investment activities. We find that firms with higher leverage and lower credit quality are more likely to issue capital expenditure forecasts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853760
This paper examines whether analysts have an industry-level information advantage over managers when forecasting earnings. We argue that such an advantage is more likely to exist in industries where firm performance is more sensitive to industry-level external economic forces. We find that for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855995
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