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Commodity is one of the most volatile markets and forecasting its volatility is an issue of paramount importance. We … study the dynamics of the commodity markets volatility by employing fractional stochastic volatility and heterogeneous … autoregressive (HAR) models. Based on a high-frequency futures price dataset of 22 commodities, we confirm that the volatility of …
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using volatilities from strategically linked commodities; thus, no volatility spillovers are detected. Interestingly, when …
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This is the first comprehensive study on the forecasting of the realized volatility of non-ferrous metal futures. Based … volatility series of aluminum is most useful in enhancing the accuracy of forecasts for other metals. While consistently …
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liquid instrument suffers from liquidity shocks that induce periods of increased volatility and significant return …
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The Internet Appendix consists of three sections. Section A shows data sources and detailed data processing procedures. In Section B, we outline seven forecasting models. Last, Section C represents the empirical results
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volatility forecasting of crude oil with a vast variety of empirical analyses and robustness checks. Although the conventional …
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