Sell-side fundamental analyst reports are highly valued in the financial industry and include three main quantitative components: earnings forecasts, target prices, and buy/sell recommendations. An important question for investment managers is then, how accurate are the forecasts of fundamental...

Over the past 12 years, financial analysts across the world have been optimistically wrong with their 12-month earnings forecasts by 25.3%. This study may be the first of its kind to assess analyst earnings forecast accuracy at all listed companies across the globe, covering 70 countries. A...

This study examines the stock-price reactions to analyst forecast revisions around earnings announcements to test whether pre-announcement forecasts reflect analysts' private information or piggybacking on confounding events and news. We find that management earnings forecasts influence the...

In this paper I investigate whether analysts' target price forecasts (TPFs) provide investors with useful direction after material accounting misstatements. I examine the magnitude, informativeness, and accuracy of analysts’ TPF revisions after misstatements. First, analysts revise their TPFs...

This study examines whether analysts' decisions to issue cash flows forecasts depend endogenously on their decision to use these forecasts to set target prices. An endogenous switching regression model, with analyst report regimes of disclosure and non-disclosure of cash flow forecasts, shows...

This paper examines the performance consequences of cutting discretionary expenditures and managing accruals to exceed analyst forecasts. We show that firms that just beat analyst forecasts with low quality earnings exhibit a short-term stock price benefit relative to firms that miss forecasts...

We propose an ex ante measure of analysts' production of private information (PPI) based on the correlations between analysts' forecast revisions and prior stock price changes. We validate this measure by examining whether analysts with lower correlations (higher PPI) provide more information...

We examine the propensity and properties of bond analysts' forecasts on cash flows and earnings. We find that the probability to issue cash flow, relative to earnings, forecasts is greater for bond analysts than for equity analysts, consistent with the notion that cash flow, relative to...

Current evidence on the sophistication of analysts' cash flow forecasts is ambiguous. For example, Call et al. (2009) show that issuing cash flow forecasts has important benefits for analysts' earnings forecasts, while Givoly et al. (2009) question the validity of this result, arguing that...

Current evidence on the sophistication of analysts' cash flow forecasts is ambiguous. For example, Call et al. (2009) show that issuing cash flow forecasts has important benefits for analysts' earnings forecasts, while Givoly et al. (2009) question the validity of this result, arguing that...