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Country News Sentiment Factors Predict Forex Prices
Hafez, Peter - 2013
In this study, we test a set of country macro sentiment indexes that measure the trailing sentiment on both scheduled and unscheduled economic and geopolitical news events. We develop a cross-over strategy in the FX market based on short to long-term news sentiment inflection points covering the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081446
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Variance risk premiums in foreign exchange markets
Ammann, Manuel; Buesser, Ralf - 2013
Based on the theory of static replication of variance swaps we assess the sign and magnitude of variance risk premiums …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410031
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Wave Function Method to Forecast Foreign Currencies Exchange Rates at Ultra High Frequency Electronic Trading in Foreign Currencies Exchange Markets
Ledenyov, Dimitri - 2015
exchange rates dynamics in the foreign currencies exchange markets in the classic finances theory; 3) the description on the … theory; 4) the derivation of the time dependent/time independent wave equation in the quantum finances theory; 5) the …/time independent wave equation in the quantum finances theory; 6) the discussion on the developed software program with the embedded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013057
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Nearest-Neighbour Predictions in Foreign Exchange Markets
Fernández Rodríguez, Fernando; Sosvilla-Rivero, Simon; … - 2002
The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the debate on the relevance of non-linear predictors of high-frequency data in foreign exchange markets. To that end, we apply nearest-neighbour (NN) predictors, inspired by the literature on forecasting in non-linear dynamical systems, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120247
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High-Frequency News Sentiment and Its Application to Forex Market Prediction
Xing, Frank; Hoang, Duc Hong; Vo, Dinh-Vinh - 2020
Financial news has been identified as an important alternative information source for modeling market dynamics in recent years. While most of the attention goes to stock markets, the foreign exchange (Forex) market, in contrast, is much less studied. Most of the existing text mining research for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352199
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Zur Qualität professioneller Wechselkursprognosen : sind professionelle Wechselkursprognosen eine sinnvolle Entscheidungshilfe für Unternehmen und Investoren?/ Robert Schmidt
Schmidt, Robert - 2003
Die Berücksichtigung der zukünftigen Entwicklung des Wechselkurses ist sowohl für internationale Unternehmen als auch für international tätige Investoren unabdingbar. Allerdings ist die Erstellung von Wechsel- kursprognosen schwierig, da bis zum heutigen Zeitpunkt kein allgemein anerkanntes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498979
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Behavioural asymmetries in the G7 foreign exchange market
Christodoulakis, George A.; Mamatzakis, Emmanuel C. - In: International review of financial analysis 29 (2013), pp. 261-270
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010244938
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Foreign exchange predictability during the financial crisis : implications for carry trade profitability
Anatolyev, Stanislav; Gospodinov, Nikolaj; Jamali, Ibrahim - 2015
In this paper, we study the effectiveness of carry trade strategies during and after the financial crisis using a flexible approach to modeling currency returns. We decompose the currency returns into multiplicative sign and absolute return components, which exhibit much greater predictability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313235
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Foreign Exchange Risk and the Predictability of Carry Trade Returns
Cenedese, Gino - 2014
This paper provides an empirical investigation of the time-series predictive ability of foreign exchange risk measures on the return to the carry trade, a popular investment strategy that borrows in low-interest currencies and lends in high-interest currencies. Using quantile regressions, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066169
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The Out-of-Sample Performance of Carry Trades
Hsu, Po-Hsuan - 2019
We carry out a large-scale investigation of the out-of-sample profitability of in-sample profitable carry trade strategies, using foreign exchange data for 48 countries spanning a period from 1983 to 2015 and employing reality check and stepwise tests to correct for data-snooping bias (the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899622