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Beyond their importance from the regulatory policy point of view, Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) play an important role in risk management, portfolio allocation, capital level requirements, trading systems, and hedging strategies. Unfortunately, due to the curse of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242339
pandemic. We find that the MS-C-MGARCH model outperforms benchmark volatility models (MGARCH, C-MGARCH) in predicting expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405757
more than a single regime, have performed substantially better than standard methods in terms of volatility and Value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242299
The GARCH(1,1) model and its extensions have become a standard econometric tool for modeling volatility dynamics of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084434
The GARCH(1,1) model and its extensions have become a standard econometric tool for modeling volatility dynamics of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009723920
assets. Building on this idea, we propose the use of a highly flexible and tractable model to forecast the volatility of an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407672
This paper examines the time-varying dependence structure of commodity futures portfolios based on multivariate dynamic copula models. The importance of accounting for time-variation is emphasized in the context of the Basel traffic light system. We enhance the exibility of this structure by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011344180
VaR forecasts of a set of conditional volatility models. This risk management strategy is GFC-robust in the sense that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137384
This paper examined a set of over two thousand crypto-coins observed between 2015 and 2020 to estimate their credit risk by computing their probability of death. We employed different definitions of dead coins, ranging from academic literature to professional practice, alternative forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404509
Several procedures to forecast daily risk measures in cryptocurrency markets have been recently implemented in the literature. Among them, long-memory processes, procedures taking into account the presence of extreme observations, procedures that include more than a single regime, as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013298650