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Evaluating how predictable errors in expected income affect consumption
Giamboni, Luigi; Millemaci, Emanuele; Waldmann, Robert - In: Applied economics 45 (2013) 28/30, pp. 4004-4021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010345803
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Subjective unemployment expectations and (self-) insurance
Hartmann, Ida Maria; Leth-Petersen, Søren - 2023
We study how individual unemployment expectations are shaped and updated using a unique longitudinal survey data set with subjective unemployment expectations. The survey data is linked with third-party reported administrative data on unemployment realizations, such that we are able to examine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013468547
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Partially unforeseen events : corrections and correcting formulae for forecasts
Charin, Aleksandr A. - In: Expert journal of economics 2 (2014) 2, pp. 69-79
A hypothesis of uncertain future was created and first applied in the field of utility and prospect theories. An extension of application of the hypothesis to the field of forecasting is considered in the article. The concept of inevitability of unforeseen events is a part of the hypothesis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057407
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Predictable Life-Cycle Shocks, Income Risk and Consumption Inequality
Primiceri, Giorgio E. - 2006
Was the increase in income inequality in the US due to permanent shocks or merely to an increase in the variance of … repeated cross-section data on consumption and income to decompose idiosyncratic changes in income into predictable life … evolution of consumption and income inequality well and delivers two main results. First, we find that permanent changes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012733915
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How to predict gender-differences in choice under risk : a case for the use of formalized models
Powell, Melanie; Schubert, Renate; Gysler, Matthias - 2001
Women are stereotyped as more risk averse than men. Empirical and experimental investigations seem to support the … tries to integrate gender aspects into five main models from decision theory. We can show that according to the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001726237
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Forecasting Compositional Risk Allocations
Boonen, Tim J. - 2017
We analyse models for panel data that arise in risk allocation problems, when a given set of sources are the cause of … an aggregate risk value. We focus on the modeling and forecasting of proportional contributions to risk. Compositional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944497
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Tracking global economic uncertainty : implications for the euro area
Bobasu, Alina; Geis, André; Quaglietti, Lucia; Ricci, … - 2021
This paper sheds light on the impact of global macroeconomic uncertainty on the euro area economy. We build on the methodology proposed by Jurado et al. (2015) and estimate global as well as country-specific measures of economic uncertainty for fifteen key euro area trade partners and the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503567
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Decomposing trends in inequality in earnings into forecastable and uncertain components
Cunha, Flávio; Heckman, James J. - In: Journal of labor economics 34 (2016) 2, pp. 31-65
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664522
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Forecasting Savings in Egypt
Rostom, Ahmed Mohamed - 2011
forecasting models for savings in Egypt break down after 1991 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117173
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Long-run income forecasting
Ahlburg, Dennis; Lindh, Thomas - In: International journal of forecasting 23 (2007) 4, pp. 533-538
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003615946