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Forecasts : consumption, production, and behavioral responses
Ahmad, Husnain Fateh; Gibson, Matthew; Nadeem, Fatiq; … - 2022
forecasts, limiting responses to uncertain future events like air pollution. We study two randomized interventions in Lahore …, Pakistan: 1) provision of air pollution forecasts; 2) general training in forecasting. Both reduced subjects' own air pollution …. Forecast receipt increased demand for protective masks and increased the responsiveness of outdoor time to pollution. Forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472006
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Exchange rate uncertainty and trade growth : a comparison of linear and nonlinear (forecasting) models
Herwartz, Helmut (contributor); Weber, Henning (contributor) - 2007
A huge body of empirical and theoretical literature has emerged on the relationship between foreign exchange (FX) uncertainty and international trade. Empirical findings about the impact of FX uncertainty on trade figures are at best weak and often ambiguous with respect to its direction. Almost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003634011
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The Environmental Impact of El Nino Southern Oscillation Forecasts
Affuso, Ermanno - 2017
Yearly weather variability has an impact on agricultural supply and farmer welfare. More accurate weather predictions may increase the net returns for farmers but the indirect environmental impact of forecasts has not been examined. A stochastic bioeconomic model, which includes weather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014163963
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Prediction of CO2 Emissions in India Using ARIMA Models
Nyoni, Thabani; Bonga, Wellington Garikai - 2019
This research uses annual time series data on CO2 emissions in India from 1960 to 2017, to model and forecast CO2 using the Box – Jenkins ARIMA approach. Our diagnostic tests indicate that India CO2 emission data is I (2). The study presents the ARIMA (2, 2, 0) model. The diagnostic tests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014107716
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Functional kriging prediction of pollution series : the geostatistical alternative for spatially-fixed data
Montero, José-María; Fernández-Avilés, Gema - In: Estudios de economía aplicada : revista promovida por … 33 (2015) 1, pp. 145-173
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515787
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Global environmental emissions estimate : application of multiple imputation
Miyama, Eriko; Managi, Shunsuke - In: Environmental economics and policy studies 16 (2014) 2, pp. 115-135
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010351424
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Positive mathematische Programmierung (PMP) im Agrarsektormodell RAUMIS
Cypris, Christian - 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013283654
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Forecasting the Great Trade Collapse
Yilmazkuday, Hakan - 2016
This paper introduces a simple methodology to forecast international trade. The main innovation is to calculate non-unitary expenditure elasticities of import demand implied by non-homothetic preferences in the previous year to be further combined with the current change in expenditure to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006843
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Improving the Short-Term Forecast of World Trade During the COVID-19 Pandemic Using Swift Data on Letters of Credit
Carton, Benjamin; Hu, Nan; Mongardini, Joannes; Moriya, Kei - 2021
An essential element of the work of the Fund is to monitor and forecast international trade. This paper uses SWIFT messages on letters of credit, together with crude oil prices and new export orders of manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), to improve the short-term forecast of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252036