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Granger Predictability of Oil Prices after the Great Recession

Benk, Szilard - 2019

Real oil prices surged from 2009 through 2014, comparable to the 1970's oil shock period. Standard explanations based on monopoly markup fall short since inflation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes strong evidence of Granger (1969) predictability of nominal factors to oil prices,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858386

Forecasting the Price of Crude Oil with Multiple Predictors

Kaya, Hüseyin - 2017

suggest that oil futures prices have marginal predictive power for the price of oil at a 1-month forecast horizon. However …, they generally lose their forecasting power at higher forecast horizons. The results also suggest that exchange rates help … predicting oil prices at higher forecast horizons. The paper also considers forecast averaging and variable selection methods …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957399

Forecasting Trajectories of Technologies For Ecological Transition and Sustainable Development

Coccia, Mario - 2022

Fossil fuels support a lot of economies worldwide but also generate a lot of quantities of carbon dioxide when burned. These carbon emissions trap heat in the atmosphere and lead to climate change and consequential environmental degradation and health issues. One of the fundamental questions is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014240500

When Will Autonomous Ships Arrive? A Technology Forecasting Perspective

Kooij, Carmen; Colling, Alina; Benson, Christopher - 2018

Autonomous ships have received significant attention in recent years. However, they are not yet widely adopted in the maritime industry yet. A wide range of predictions have been made about when the technological change will occur. This paper analyses technologies that are critical to autonomous...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014113442

A model to forecast airport-level general aviation demand

Li, Tao; Trani, Antonio A. - In: Journal of air transport management 40 (2014), pp. 192-206

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411948

Development of a two-stage ship fuel consumption prediction and reduction model for a dry bulk ship

Yan, Ran; Wang, Shuaian; Du, Yuquan - In: Transportation research / E : an international journal 138 (2020), pp. 1-22

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294932

Long-term forecasting of fuel demand at theater entry points

Lobo, Benjamin J.; Brown, Donald E.; Grazaitis, Peter J. - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 2, pp. 502-520

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300695

Evaluating predictability based on gate-in fuel prediction and cost-to-carry estimation

Kang, Lei; Hansen, Mark; Ryerson, Megan S. - In: Journal of air transport management 67 (2018), pp. 146-152

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807253

Do jet fuel price movements help forecast airline fares and the demand for air travel?

Atems, Bebonchu; Bachmeier, Lance J.; Williams, Corey - In: Applied economics letters 26 (2019) 11, pp. 877-882

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012204413

What does machine learning say about the drivers of inflation?

Kohlscheen, Emanuel - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799294

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