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The state of the art in the analyst forecasting literature is that analyst earnings forecast ability is only firm … absence of a “spillover” effect, i.e., investors do not consider an analyst's earnings forecast ability regarding firm k when … reacting to his earnings forecast revision for firm j. We re-examine the issue of whether or not earnings forecast ability is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070639
forecast disclosure only accrue to bidders with a strong forecasting reputation prior to the acquisition. Explaining why not … all bidders forecast, we document a higher likelihood of post-merger litigation and CEO turnover for bidders with a weak …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905443
' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both … with a relatively high probability of forecast pessimism experience significantly higher announcement returns than those … difficulty investors have in identifying differences in expected forecast pessimism. Overall, we conclude that market prices do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937538
forecast when actual earnings exceed the consensus and the most pessimistic forecast when the consensus exceeds actual earnings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992160
We investigate whether investors are misled by firms that exclude particular expenses in calculating non-GAAP earnings in order to beat analysts' earnings forecasts. Our empirical analyses suggest that firms that pursue a strategy of non-GAAP reporting to beat analysts' earnings forecasts not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864015
While a large literature has examined analysts’ earnings forecasts or stock recommendations in isolation, there is little research on the effectiveness with which analysts translate their earnings forecasts into recommendations (referred to as translational effectiveness). This study provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224426
forecasts. We find evidence consistent with our expectation that egregious forecast errors motivate analysts to work harder to … information. This increased reliance on private information reduces the mean forecast error for upcoming earnings (even after … individual forecast error is idiosyncratic, and thus averaged out in the computation of the mean forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048424
We address whether analysts bias earnings forecast revisions and convey the bias using forecast revision consistency, i ….e., the extent to which analyst reports with earnings forecast revisions include stock recommendation and target price … revisions consistent in sign with the earnings forecast revisions, the sign of which is the sign of earnings forecast revision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014359306
Previous research finds that historical seasonal earnings rank negatively predicts stock returns surrounding earnings announcements (EAs) in China’s A-share markets. We examine whether management earnings forecasts (MEFs) help reduce the stock return seasonality associated with earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255146
reflect the predictable component of analyst forecast errors. This evidence conflicts with conclusions in prior research … characteristic and analyst forecasts predicts future analyst forecast errors, forecast revisions, and changes in buy …/sell recommendations. I document abnormal returns to a strategy that sorts firms based on predicted forecast errors, consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094105