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-especially volatility and illiquidity shocks-over the subprime crisis in order to investigate their market timing activities. In a … systematic risk is highly nonlinear in extreme scenarios-especially during the subprime crisis. We find that countercyclical … strategies have an investment technology which differs from procyclical ones. During crises, the former seek to capture non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013169857
how these volatility measures can be used for risk management. We find that momentum risk management significantly …We introduce a new class of momentum strategies, the risk-adjusted time series momentum (RAMOM) strategies, which are … based on averages of past futures returns, normalized by their volatility. We test these strategies on a universe of 64 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293745
Many financial decisions, such as portfolio allocation, risk management, option pricing and hedge strategies, are based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025822
This paper studies a basket of risk statistics that are widely used to measure investment performance. Those risk … that not all risk statistics should be included in the model when establishing an investment strategy. Lastly, we … statistics were used to rank the performance of the assets. The dependent information was removed from the set of risk measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177190
We examine the pricing of tail risk in international stock markets. We find that the tail risk of different countries … mainly driven by global tail risk rather than local tail risk. World fear is also priced in the crosssection of stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751251
about estimation risk in FFMs in high dimensions. We investigate whether recent linear and non-linear shrinkage methods help … to reduce the estimation risk in the asset return covariance matrix. Our findings indicate that modest improvements are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011949129
We investigate the question whether macroeconomic variables contain information about future stock volatility beyond … that contained in past volatility. We show that forecasts of GDP and industrial production growth from the Federal Reserve …'s Survey of Professional Forecasters predict volatility in a cross-section of 49 industry portfolios. The expectation of higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917967
risk measures utilised in the allocation framework. The extensively used factor model proposed initially by Sharpe has … variables to be incorporated in a statistical manner as inputs to forecasting models that can then be used to obtain risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010841
formulate a volatility forecast of returns used as an input for determining some subjective views to be included in the Black … returns, revealing information about investment opportunities. The results show that the Black-Litterman model using the … setting the allocations, result in higher risk-return ratio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998423
models. We show that HF-based predictions yield a significantly lower portfolio volatility than methods employing daily … studies have shown and translate into substantial utility gains from the perspective of an investor with pronounced risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085726