Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 15,002
Cover Image
Partially unforeseen events : corrections and correcting formulae for forecasts
Charin, Aleksandr A. - In: Expert journal of economics 2 (2014) 2, pp. 69-79
A hypothesis of uncertain future was created and first applied in the field of utility and prospect theories. An extension of application of the hypothesis to the field of forecasting is considered in the article. The concept of inevitability of unforeseen events is a part of the hypothesis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057407
Cover Image
Knightian uncertainty and credit cycles
Gerba, Eddie; Żochowski, Dawid - 2017
The Great Recession has been characterised by the two stylized facts: the buildup of leverage in the household sector in the period preceding the recession and a protracted economic recovery that followed. We attempt to explain these two facts as an information friction, whereby agents are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011656163
Cover Image
Ambiguity, long-run risks, and asset prices
Wei, Bin - 2021
generalized LRR model is as tractable but more flexible due to its separation of ambiguity aversion from both risk aversion and … variance premium puzzle besides the puzzles of the equity premium, the risk-free rate, and the return predictability …. Specifically, the model matches reasonably well key asset-pricing moments with risk aversion under 5. Model calibration shows that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617667
Cover Image
Forecasting Long-Horizon Factor Volatility
Zeissler, Tom Oskar Karl - 2022
term spread indicators, as determinants of the long-term risk of aggregated future asset prices. However, the subsequent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289776
Cover Image
Measuring global and country-specific uncertainty
Ozturk, Ezgi O.; Sheng, Xuguang - In: Journal of international money and finance 88 (2018), pp. 276-295
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012000947
Cover Image
Prognose des CO2-Zertifikatepreisrisikos
Dannenberg, Henry; Ehrenfeld, Wilfried - 2008
Modeling the price risk of CO2 certificates is one important aspect of integral corporate risk management related to … emissions trading. The paper presents a risk model which may be the basis for evaluating the risk of emission certificate prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269911
Cover Image
Prognose des CO2-Zertifikatepreisrisikos
Dannenberg, Henry; Ehrenfeld, Wilfried - 2008
Modeling the price risk of CO2 certificates is one important aspect of integral corporate risk management related to … emissions trading. The paper presents a risk model which may be the basis for evaluating the risk of emission certificate prices … expected reversion level and to estimate the parameters of the mean reversion process. -- risk ; carbon dioxide ; emissions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003747872
Cover Image
Forecasting the CO2 Certificate Price Risk
Ehrenfeld, Wilfried - 2014
Modeling the price risk of CO2 certificates is one important aspect of integral corporate risk management related to … emissions trading. The paper presents a risk model which may be the basis for evaluating the risk of emission certificate prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069394
Cover Image
Comparing Models of Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction : Distance to Default vs. Z-Score
Miller, Warren - 2009
This paper examines the performance of two commonly applied bankruptcy prediction models, the accounting ratio-based Altman Z-Score model, and the structural Distance to Default model which currently underlies Morningstar's Financial Health Grade for public companies (Morningstar 2008)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156771