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This survey reviews the literature on sell-side analysts' forecasts and their implications for asset pricing. We review the literature on the supply and demand forces shaping analysts' forecasting decisions as well as on the implications of the information they produce for both the cash flow and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979158
We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' perceptions of risk that is broadly applicable and simple to implement. We derive this measure from an option-pricing model where investors anticipate an announcement that simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's...
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This survey reviews the literature on sell-side analysts' forecasts and its implications for asset pricing. We review the literature on the supply and demand forces shaping analysts' forecasting decisions as well as the implications of the information they produce for both the cash flow and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996787
I provide evidence that investors systematically overweight analyst forecasts by demonstrating that prices do not fully reflect the predictable component of analyst forecast errors. This evidence conflicts with conclusions in prior research relying on traditional approaches to predicting analyst...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094105
An earnings manipulation detection model based on forensic accounting principles (Beneish 1999) has substantial out-of-sample ability to predict cross-sectional returns. We show that the model correctly identified, ahead of time, 12 of the 17 highest profile fraud cases in the period 1998-2002....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067603
Predicted stock issuers (PSIs) are firms with expected “high-investment and low-profit” (HILP) profiles that earn unusually low returns. We carefully document important features of PSI firms to provide insights on the economic mechanism behind the HILP phenomenon. Top-PSI firms are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902654