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The most popular method of calculating asset prices is the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). What is the appropriate …? This research looks at the out of sample forecasting capabilities of three popular CAPM ex-post constant beta models from … the pricing, contrary to popular studies that use five to ten years of historical data. There are many different CAPM …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907773
Researchers and practitioners employ a variety of time-series processes to forecast betas, using either short-memory models or implicitly imposing infinite memory. We find that both approaches are inadequate: beta factors show consistent long-memory properties. For the vast majority of stocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012105362
In this paper, we document evidence that downside betas tend to comove more than upside betas during a financial crisis, but upside betas tend to comove more than the downside betas during financial booms. We find that the asymmetry between Downside-Beta Comovement and Upside-Beta Comovement is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442899
justify the DCF construction on Russian capital market use CAPM. The present paper assesses the CAPM predicted beta …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113257
This paper demonstrates that a conditional version of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) explains the cross section …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905563
We investigate how individual equity prices respond to continuous and jumpy market price moves and how these different market price risks, or betas, are priced in the cross section of expected stock returns. Based on a novel high-frequency data set of almost one thousand stocks over two decades,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005591
This paper demonstrates that the forecasted CAPM beta of momentum portfolios explains a large portion of the return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005838
We predict bond betas conditioning on a number of macro-finance variables. We explore differences across long-term government bonds, investment grade corporate bonds, and high yield corporate bonds. We conduct out-of-sample forecasting using the new approach of combining predictor variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934945
Researchers and practitioners face many choices when estimating an asset's sensitivities toward risk factors, i.e., betas. We study the effect of different data sampling frequencies, forecast adjustments, and model combinations for beta estimation. Using the entire U.S. stock universe and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751164
This paper investigates the predictability of market betas for crypto assets. The market beta is the optimal weight of a short position in a simple two-asset portfolio hedging the market risk. Investors are therefore keen to forecast the market beta accurately. Estimating the market beta is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332932