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the dynamics of Bitcoin price during the analyzed time period. We explain this classification of long and short bubbles by … over this period. Then, a detailed analysis of the growing risks associated with the three long bubbles using the Log … bubbles and the four short bubbles that our time scale of analysis was able to resolve. Overall, our predictive scheme …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899669
The Efficient Market Hypothesis is one of the most popular subjects in the empirical finance literature. Previous studies in the stock markets, which are mostly based on fixed time price variations, do not provide conclusive findings, in which evidence of short-term predictability varies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914355
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The aim of this paper is to present novel tests for the early causal diagnostic of positive and negative bubbles in the … LPPLS (log-periodic power law singularity) approach successfully diagnoses positive and negative bubbles, constructs … efficient End-of-Bubble signals for all of the well-documented bubbles, and obtains for the first time new statistical evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514490
forecasts -- to the ex post and ex ante prediction of stock price bubbles. For a panel of six OECD economies covering 24 years … signalling of stock price booms and bubbles. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010400661
We propose several multivariate variance ratio statistics. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the statistics and scalar functions thereof under the null hypothesis that returns are unpredictable after a constant mean adjustment (i.e., under the weak form Efficient Market Hypothesis). We do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496122
forecasts - to the ex post and ex ante prediction of stock price bubbles. For a panel of six OECD economies covering 24 years … signalling of stock price booms and bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048399
We examine the predictive power of market-based indicators over the positive and negative stock market bubbles via an … successfully capture, ex-ante, some of the prominent bubbles across different time scales, such as the Black Monday, Dot-com, and … bubbles across both short and long time horizons, in line with the previous studies suggesting that short sellers have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931948
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