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This paper uses loan-level data to investigate heterogeneity in loan prepayment incidence, and argues that refinancing is affected by a mortgage pricing convention that underestimates co-borrowers' actual creditworthiness. Specifically, we find a substantial difference in prepayment incidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012845177
measurable components that we call Opportunity, Foresight, and Active Management Risk. Opportunity reflects the degree to which … the investment opportunity set contains exploitable asset returns. Foresight and Active Management Risk reflect how well a … recommendations from a set of Investment Houses. We find little Foresight, but considerable Active Management Risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133301
This article analyzes the manifold situations in which the efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) has influenced — or has failed to influence — federal securities regulation and state corporate law, and the prospective roles for the EMH in these contexts. In federal securities regulation, the EMH...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100915
You're probably familiar, at least in passing, with the 'convexity' of long-term bonds - i.e. that yields dropping 1% produce a bigger price move than yields rising 1%. A significant amount of brainpower has gone into understanding all the ramifications of this convexity in the fixed income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902324
Three concepts: stochastic discount factors, multi-beta pricing and mean-variance efficiency, are at the core of modern empirical asset pricing. This chapter reviews these paradigms and the relations among them, concentrating on conditional asset-pricing models where lagged variables serve as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023859
predictable loan fees in order to mitigate the risk of unexpected loan fee increases. I present evidence that loan demand is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491786
This paper contains comments on Nonparametric Tail Risk, Stock Returns and the Macroeconomy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518800
I provide evidence that risks in macroeconomic fundamentals contain valuable information about bond risk premia. I … extract factors from a set of quantile-based risk measures estimated for US macroeconomic variables and document that they … unemployment rate. In addition, factors provide information about bond risk premia variation that is largely unrelated to that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478516
In 2008, the S&P500 aggregated a loss of 30.16% during three selected days. Unfortunately, benchmark risk measures didn …'t forecast these hazards. Consequently, we witness a growing interest in coherent risk measures, sensitive to high moments and … heavy tail risk. Such measures were proposed by Aumann-Serrano (2007) and Foster-Hart (2008). As a generalization of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090906
their fluctuations, called the loss and gain quadratic risk premium (QRP) respectively. The loss QRP interprets as the … premium paid for downside risk hedging, while the gain QRP reads as the premium received for upside risk compensation. Long …-short portfolio strategies based on the loss or gain QRP yield monthly risk-adjusted expected excess returns of up to 2.8%. This cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900726