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We conduct a comprehensive international study of predictability in housing markets using the rent-price ratio as a predictive variable. On data from 18 OECD countries we generally find return predictability in accordance with time-varying risk-premia, but we also document two puzzles. First,...
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This article provides the in-sample estimation and evaluates the out-of-sample conditional mean and volatility forecast … poorly in conditional mean and volatility forecast …
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