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This paper addresses the theoretical foundations of corporate failure prediction, using the neo-classical theory of capital structure as a starting point. The paper intends to demonstrate the feasibility of such an approach in a simple setting, i.e. by using a simple theoretical model and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975529
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008778119
We revisit the empirical performance of the Q theory of investment, explicitly taking into account the frequency … dependence of investment, Tobin's Q, and cash flow. The time series are decomposed into orthogonal components of different … wavelet approach and proxies for Q recently suggested in the investment literature also significantly improves the quality of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963438
subsamples and translates into more profitable investment strategies. Extensive model interpretation reveals that income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015438462
Measuring the extent to which a firm is financially constrained is critical in assessing capital structure. Extant measures of financial constraints focus on macro firm characteristics such as age and size – variables highly correlated with other firm attributes. We parse 10-K disclosures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035014
The paper provides a cost-based explanation for decision makers' reluctance to use fraud prediction models, particularly as these models have nearly doubled their success at identifying fraud (true positive rates) when compared to the initial models in Beneish (1997, 1999). We estimate the costs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842589
The computation of implied cost of capital (ICC) is constrained by the lack of analyst forecasts for half of all firms. Hou, van Dijk, and Zhang (2012, HVZ) present a cross-sectional model to generate forecasts in order to compute ICC. However, the forecasts from the HVZ model perform worse than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057608
The computation of implied cost of capital (ICC) is constrained by the lack of analyst forecasts for half of all firms. Hou, van Dijk, and Zhang (2012, HVZ) present a cross-sectional model to generate forecasts in order to compute ICC. However, the forecasts from the HVZ model perform worse than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063029
This study provides empirical evidence for the efficacy of deriving firms' earnings forecasts from predictions of the complete, conditional probability density function (pdf). Relative to cross-sectional earnings forecasts based on OLS regressions, improvements of accuracy, bias and measures for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216393