Showing 1 - 10 of 14,104
This paper addresses the theoretical foundations of corporate failure prediction, using the neo-classical theory of … compared to the multitude of theory-less empirical studies and a useful alternative to the default theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975529
This paper examines the performance of two commonly applied bankruptcy prediction models, the accounting ratio-based Altman Z-Score model, and the structural Distance to Default model which currently underlies Morningstar's Financial Health Grade for public companies (Morningstar 2008)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156771
The computation of implied cost of capital (ICC) is constrained by the lack of analyst forecasts for half of all firms. Hou, van Dijk, and Zhang (2012, HVZ) present a cross-sectional model to generate forecasts in order to compute ICC. However, the forecasts from the HVZ model perform worse than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057608
This study provides empirical evidence for the efficacy of deriving firms' earnings forecasts from predictions of the complete, conditional probability density function (pdf). Relative to cross-sectional earnings forecasts based on OLS regressions, improvements of accuracy, bias and measures for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216393
The computation of implied cost of capital (ICC) is constrained by the lack of analyst forecasts for half of all firms. Hou, van Dijk, and Zhang (2012, HVZ) present a cross-sectional model to generate forecasts in order to compute ICC. However, the forecasts from the HVZ model perform worse than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063029
A firm's current leverage ratio is one of the core characteristics of credit quality used in statistical default prediction models. Based on the capital structure literature, which shows that leverage is mean-reverting to a target leverage, we forecast future leverage ratios and include them in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128308
Corporate investment decisions require managers to forecast expected future cash flows from potential investments … infer the quality of their corporate investment decisions. Relying on the intuition that managers draw on similar skills … when generating external earnings forecasts and internal payoff forecasts for their investment decisions, we predict that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063410
We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544319
We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979540