Showing 1 - 10 of 9,109
We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' perceptions of risk that is broadly applicable and … simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's expected future cash flows and risk profile. We empirically implement the … forecasting power for firms' risk-factor exposures, implied costs of capital, liquidity, and future investments. We also apply our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244502
) The Volatility Puzzle. We offer resolutions of those objections within the rational finance. We do not claim that those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842392
We build an equilibrium model to explain why stock return predictability concentrates in bad times. The key feature is that investors use different forecasting models, and hence assess uncertainty differently. As economic conditions deteriorate, uncertainty rises and investors' opinions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721618
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
This paper examines the relationship between idiosyncratic risk and stock returns in BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India … risk puzzle by dividing firms into groups based on fundamentals, such as their market risk, financial constraints, and … liquidity position. Finally, it investigates whether the idiosyncratic risk is priced in BRICS countries’ equity markets. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014307488
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404647
asset prices reflect both covariance risk and misperceptions of firmsapos prospects, and in which arbitrageurs trade against … mispricing. In equilibrium, expected returns are linearly related to both risk and mispricing measures (e.g., fundamental …. The theory offers untested empirical implications about volume, volatility, fundamental/price ratios, and mean returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918741
account impacts from oil price return and oil price volatility on forecast changes. The panel smooth transition regression …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010438928
This paper examines if overreaction of oil price forecasters is affected by uncertainty. Furthermore, it takes into account joint effects of uncertainty and oil price returns on forecast changes. The panel smooth transition regression model from Gonz alez et al. (2005) is applied with univariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010480543
construct managed portfolios of a risk-free asset and market index. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098