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This paper implements recursive techniques to estimate the equilibrium level of M2 velocity and to forecast inflation … P* model assuming a constant equilibrium velocity does not provide accurate inflation forecasts in the 1990s, a model … using the P* model. The recursive estimates of equilibrium velocity are obtained by applying regression trees and least …
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This paper uses a simple New Keynesian monetary DSGE model as a prior for a vector autoregression and shows that the resulting model is competitive with standard benchmarks in terms of forecasting and can be used for policy analysis
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This article uses a simple New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model as a prior for a vector autoregression, and shows that the resulting model is competitive with standard benchmarks in terms of forecasting, and can be used for policy analysis
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