Similar Search Results

Probabilistic forecasting : the National Hockey League totals market

Traugutt, Alexander - In: Journal of economic insight : (formerly the journal of … 48 (2022) 2, pp. 57-72

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014313962

Insolvency forecasting through trend analysis with full ignorance of probabilities

Poláček, Tomáš; Kruntorádová, Markéta - In: Acta oeconomica Pragensia : vědecký časopis Vysoke … 27 (2019) 3/4, pp. 17-30

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012372881

Properties of the reconciled distributions for Gaussian and count forecasts

Zambon, Lorenzo; Agosto, Arianna; Giudici, Paolo; … - In: International journal of forecasting 40 (2024) 4, pp. 1438-1448

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015438422

Robust recalibration of aggregate probability forecasts using meta-beliefs

Peker, Cem; Wilkening, Tom - In: International journal of forecasting 41 (2025) 2, pp. 613-630

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015440572

Forecasting population in an uncertain world : approaches, new uses, and troubling limitations

Lee, Ronald Demos - In: Population and development review 51 (2025) 1, pp. 491-518

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015394772

Forecast encompassing tests and probability forecasts

Clements, Michael P.; Harvey, David I. - In: Journal of applied econometrics 25 (2010) 6, pp. 1028-1062

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008667429

Equity Valuation : Forecasting Earnings Based on Probability Distributions Linked to Rating Categories

Barnard, Brian - 2019

on this, earnings are forecast as probability distributions. As reflected by the output distributions, in general, given …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862380

Combining probability forecasts : 60 % and 60 % is 60 %, but likely and likely is very likely

Mislavsky, Robert; Gaertig, Celia - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 68 (2022) 1, pp. 541-563

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821217

Herding in Probabilistic Forecasts

Jia, Yanwei - 2020

Decision and policy makers often ask experts to forecast a future state. Experts, however, can be biased. In the … estimation. To this end, we consider a one-shot setting with one forecast per expert and show that our model is identifiable up …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825530

Scoring probability forecasts by a user's bets against a market consensus

Johnstone, David; Jones, Stewart; Jones, Oliver; Tulig, … - In: Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for … 18 (2021) 3, pp. 169-184

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012654939