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The use of fundamentalist traders in the stock market models is problematic since fundamental values in the real world are unknown. Yet, in the literature to date, fundamentalists are often required to replicate key stylized facts. The authors present an agent-based model of the stock market in...
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Since the adoption of inflation targeting, the seasonal appears to be the component that explains the major part of … inflation’s total variation in Mexico. In this context, we study the performance of seasonal time series models to forecast … short-run inflation. Using multi-horizon evaluation techniques, we examine the real-time forecasting performance of four …
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