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Standard equity valuation approaches (i.e., DDM, RIM, and DCF model) are derived under the assumption of ideal conditions, such as infinite payoffs and clean surplus accounting. Because these conditions are hardly ever met, we extend the standard approaches, based on the fundamental principle of...
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accurate forecasts relative to alternatives, including the traditional dividend yield. This remains true even after excluding …
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Aggregate dividend growth is widely thought to be unpredictable by the dividend price ratio. I show that this lack of … regression of dividend growth on the dividend price ratio goes from being negative (-1.18%) to being positive (17.54%) and ….76%) and returns (1.86% to 4.40%). Out-of-sample R2 for dividend growth and returns are large and statistically significant. I …
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