In this short report we present simulations based on an updated version of A-LMM, the Austrian Long-run Macroeconomic Model. In addition to a baseline scenario based on the main population projection of Statistics Austria, we simulate the effects of low and high migration, high life expectancy...

We use the Austrian Long-run Macroeconomic Model (A-LMM) for a long-term projection of the Austrian economy until 2070. Our baseline scenario is the input for micro-simulation models of the Austrian pension insurance system. A-LMM is a neoclassical growth model replicating stylised facts about...

I apply a multiresolution decomposition to the term spread and real-GDP growth in the U.S. Using the filtered data, I study whether the yield spread helps forecasting output. The results show that the predictive power of the yield spread varies largely across time scales both in-sample and...