We use a representative consumer model to analyse the relation between the transitory deviations of consumption from its common trend with aggregate wealth and labour income, cay, and the housing risk premium. The evidence based on data for 15 OECD countries shows that, if financial and housing...

In this paper, we investigate whether the Google search activity can help in nowcasting the year-on-year growth rates of monthly US private consumption using a real-time data set. The Google-based forecasts are compared to those based on a benchmark AR(1) model and the models including the...

In this paper, we investigate whether the Google search activity can help in nowcasting the year-on-year growth rates of monthly US private consumption using a real-time data set. The Google-based forecasts are compared to those based on a benchmark AR(1) model and the models including the...