This paper provides an empirical study on the predictability of implied volatility using dataset collected from the … implied volatility characteristics across various maturities. We applied both in and out-of-sample tests that include the … provides evidence of non-random movement in the implied volatility series and indicates predictability of implied volatility …

Option prices seem to behave in ways inconsistent with the Black-Scholes model. Implied volatility varies with the … strike price in a parabolic shape that is often called the volatility 'smile.' My objective in this paper is to identify … implied probability distributions that might explain this anomaly. I develop a simulated method of moments estimation …

uncertainty and recursive utility function. Within such a framework, the negative volatility risk premium implied from option …

We examine the information content of the CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) when forecasting realized volatility in … volatility. In out-of-sample forecasting we find that econometric models based on realized volatility can be improved by … including implied volatility and other variables. Our results show that including implied volatility significantly improves …

Aggregate implied volatility spread (IVS), defined as the cross-sectional average difference in the implied …

In this analysis we are concerned with the issue of whether market forecasts of volatility, as expressed in the Black … comprising 5-minute returns, makes volatility the subject process of interest, to which innovations are introduced via a … volatility-of-volatility (kurtosis) process. Despite performing robustly in- and out-of-sample, an encompassing regression …

. This study uses the Diebold and Yilmaz index model to analyze and measure volatility spillovers and interconnectedness … among APEC stock markets. The objective is to identify major transmitters of volatility spillovers and assess the magnitude … of different crisis cycles. The results show that the US is the major contributor (69.54%) to volatility spillovers in …