This Article examines how contract drafters can use data on contract outcomes to inform contract design. Building on … recent developments in contract data collection and analysis, the Article proposes “predictive contracting,” a new method of … contracting in which contract drafters can design contracts using a technology system that helps predict the connections between …

Can we predict when and where violence will break out within cases of genocide? Given often weak political will to … contemplating intervention. I develop a theoretical model to help identify areas vulnerable to violence during genocide. I argue … strength of society's cohesion below. Violence will be delayed in areas where political and military resistance to the center …

Policymakers can take actions to prevent local conflict before it begins, if such violence can be accurately predicted … decades of fine-grained violence data by type, alongside hundreds of annual risk factors. We predict violence one year ahead … with a range of machine learning techniques. Models reliably identify persistent, high-violence hot spots. Violence is not …

Policymakers can take actions to prevent local conflict before it begins, if such violence can be accurately predicted … decades of fine-grained violence data by type, alongside hundreds of annual risk factors. We predict violence one year ahead … with a range of machine learning techniques. Models reliably identify persistent, high-violence hot spots. Violence is not …

crimes, whether flight risk is linked to pretrial violence, and whether judges can accurately predict which defendants are …