Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 13,754
Cover Image
Repeated Use of IMF-Supported Programs : Determinants and Forecasting
Iseringhausen, Martin - 2019
This paper studies the determinants of repeated use of Fund-supported programs in a large sample covering virtually all General Resources Account (GRA) arrangements that were approved between 1952 and 2012. Generally, the revolving nature of the IMF's resources calls for the temporary sup-port...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858950
Cover Image
A method for predicting the effects of different forms of outside aid on local educational expenditure
Olsen, Edgar O. - 1972
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002303773
Cover Image
Do prediction markets aid defenders in a weak‐link contest?
Deck, Cary A.; Hao, Li; Porter, David P. - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010205989
Cover Image
Thinking about Aid Predictability
Andrews, Matthew; Wilhelm, Vera - 2012
Researchers are giving more attention to aid predictability. In part, this is because of increases in the number of aid agencies and aid dollars and the growing complexity of the aid community. A growing body of research is examining key questions: Is aid unpredictable? What causes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012556236
Cover Image
Mathematical trend curves : an aid to forecasting
Gregg, James V.; Hossell, C. H.; Richardson, J. T. - 1964
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013329202
Cover Image
Fitting and Forecasting Sovereign Defaults Using Multiple Risk Signals
Savona, Roberto - 2011
In this paper we face the fitting versus forecasting paradox with the objective of realizing an optimal Early Warning System to better describe and predict past and future sovereign defaults. We do this by proposing a new Regression Tree-based model that signals a potential crisis whenever...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117928
Cover Image
Information Content in Sneer Asymmetry : An Application to OOS Implied Volatility Forecasting
Choi, Youngsoo - 2012
The ad hoc Black-Scholes (AHBS) model is one of the most widely used option valuation models among practitioners models. The main contribution of this study is methodological. We have two main results: (1) we make the empirical observation that typically the call and put sneers are discontinuous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097543
Cover Image
Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability with Real-Time Data
Ince, Onur - 2019
This paper evaluates short-run out-of-sample exchange rate predictability with real-time data for 15 OECD countries from 1973 to 2013. We consider the Taylor rule fundamentals model, where the variables that enter the Taylor rule are used to forecast exchange rate changes, and the Taylor rule...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903719
Cover Image
Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability with Taylor Rule Fundamentals
Molodtsova, Tanya - 2009
An extensive literature that studied the performance of empirical exchange rate models following Meese and Rogoff's (1983a) seminal paper has not convincingly found evidence of out-of-sample exchange rate predictability. This paper extends the conventional set of models of exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764841
Cover Image
Wave Function Method to Forecast Foreign Currencies Exchange Rates at Ultra High Frequency Electronic Trading in Foreign Currencies Exchange Markets
Ledenyov, Dimitri - 2015
exchange rates dynamics in the foreign currencies exchange markets in the classic finances theory; 3) the description on the … theory; 4) the derivation of the time dependent/time independent wave equation in the quantum finances theory; 5) the …/time independent wave equation in the quantum finances theory; 6) the discussion on the developed software program with the embedded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013057