This paper revisits the relationships among macroeconomic variables and asset returns. Based on recent developments in econometrics, we categorize competing models of asset returns into different "Equivalence Predictive Power Classes" (EPPC). During the pre-crisis period (1975-2005), some models...

Convolutional neural networks (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks have become a staple of sequence learning. Due to the well-established fact that financial time series data exhibit exceptionally noisy characteristics, capital market anomalies are virtually impossible to detect. We...

We analyse the performance of financial market variables in nowcasting Finnish quarterly GDP growth. In particular, we assess if prediction accuracy is affected by the sampling frequency of the financial variables. Therefore, we apply MIDAS models that allow us to nowcast quarterly GDP growth...

We explore in this paper the use of deep signature models to predict equity financial time series returns. First, we use signature transformations to model the underlying shape of the input equity returns; further assuming the underlying shape remains the same, we predict future values based on...

We analyse the performance of financial market variables in nowcasting Finnish quarterly GDP growth. Especially, we assess if prediction accuracy is affected by the sampling frequency of the financial variables. Therefore, we apply MIDAS models that allow us to forecast quarterly GDP growth...

Risk managers operate in the space of risk and returns, constrained by financial market regulations. How can risk managers assess risk associated with changing regulatory structures, given that theories about the relationship between risk and return are much more developed than theories about...

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the applicability of developed country turnaround predication models as well as an “in country” developed turnaround prediction model for a sample of financially distressed Malaysian companies over the period of 2000-2007.Multiple Discriminant...

В данной работе дана математическая постановка задачи планирования взаимодействия банка и корпоративных клиентов, направленного на достижение заданного...