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A Study on Forecasting Economic Convergence of India in Comparison to USA, China and Japan
Rajaiah, Jayaraj; Pendse, Eesha; Thomas, Sheril Anna; … - 2021
This paper attempts to examine, compare and forecast the per capita GDP of India, the USA, China, and Japan for a period of ten years from 2020 to 2029. It studies the concept of economic convergence which states that the developing economies’ per capita income levels tend to move at a faster...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216161
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A forecasting model for assessing the influence of the components of technological growth on economic security
Ilyash, Olha; Lupak, Ruslan; Kravchenko, Maryna; … - In: Verslas : teorija ir praktika : Vilniaus Gedimino … 23 (2022) 1, pp. 175-186
The system of indicators for assessing the impact of the components of technological growth on economic security is generalised. This task is carried out by selecting a system of indicators (40 indicators), which, on the one hand, are consistent with one another and with key indicators used in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013206260
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Макроэкономический обзор ЕАБР. Сильный восстановительный рост в 2021 году (EDB Macroeconomic Forecast : Strong Recovery Growth in 2021)...
Vinokurov, Evgeny; Kuznetsov, Aleksei; Berdigulova, Aigul; … - 2021
Abstract in Russian:Документ включает в себя подробное описание текущих внутренних и внешних макроэкономических условий, а также согласованный прогноз. Анализ...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314525
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EDB Macroeconomic Forecast : Strong Recovery Growth in 2021
Vinokurov, Evgeny; Kuznetsov, Aleksei; Berdigulova, Aigul; … - 2021
The document contains a detailed description of the current domestic and external macroeconomic conditions, and a consistent set of forecasts. The analysis covers existing mutual links among six economies (Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, and Tajikistan) and their key trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314526
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The Golden Period for Growth in Chile : Explanations and Forecasts
Gallego, Francisco A.; Loayza, Norman - 2002
Economic growth in Chile since the mid 1980s has been remarkable for its high level and persistence. This paper attempts to shed light on the factors behind it and analyze the extent to which they can be sustained in the future. The first part of the paper presents some stylized facts. Taken...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120061
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Medium-term forecast of European economic sustainable growth using Markov chains
Haller, Alina; Gherasim, Ovidiu; Bălan, Mariana; … - 2022
Economic growth is a frequently analyzed aspect, both from theoretical and empirical standpoint, under the impact of the influence factors, while the issue of economic growth was studied by applying different methods and obtaining different results. In the case of EU28, the problem of economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013305995
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Industrial growth with poverty reduction and equity? Predictions from nighttime lights in Vietnam
Otchia, Christian; Yamada, Takahiro - 2021
, significant poverty reduction, and relatively little inequality. Using disaggregated provincial-level data of Vietnam from 2002 to … consideration of initial inequality. The estimation results suggest that industrial sector growth is a strong driver of poverty … Oster (2019). Further, we find that poverty and initial inequality do not have a stable statistical relationship. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311349
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The Golden Period for Growth in Chile : Explanations and Forecasts
Gallego, Francisco A.; Loayza, Norman - 2010
Economic growth in Chile since the mid 1980s has been remarkable for its high level and persistence. This paper attempts to shed light on the factors behind it and analyze the extent to which they can be sustained in the future. The first part of the paper presents some stylized facts. Taken...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014188570
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New DIW Berlin model can nowcast the current income distribution : inequality likely to slightly increase in 2023
Bönke, Timm; Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; Pagenhardt, Laura - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 13 (2023) 43/44, pp. 283-289
DIW Berlin comes in: A new forecast model is making it possible to make statements about the current state of inequality … gained: Following declining inequality up until 2021, primarily between 2010 and 2020, the new DIW Berlin model forecasts an … interruption in the trend in 2022 and 2023. Overall, labor income inequality is predicted to have increased slightly over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431177
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Bank of Finland's long-run forecast framework with human capital
Kokkinen, Arto; Obstbaum, Meri; Mäki-Fränti, Petri - 2021
. For this purpose, we develop a novel long-run forecast framework based on enodogenous growth theory with human and fixed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012703120