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Low Cognitive Reflection Predicts Honesty for Men But Not for Women
Capraro, Valerio - 2018
possible that the gender effect on dishonesty is moderated by cognitive reflection. Here we report a large online experiment (N …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918518
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Predicting norm enforcement : the individual and joint predictive power of economic preferences, personality, and self-control
Friehe, Tim; Schildberg-Hörisch, Hannah - In: European journal of law and economics 45 (2018) 1, pp. 127-146
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979974
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What point of a distribution summarises point predictions?
Kröger, Sabine; Pierrot, Thibaud - 2019
of an iid random variable. We set up a laboratory experiment where the participants act as forecasters predicting the … their central tendencies. As is standard in survey measures, the subjects in our experiment must report their best guess of … the experiment are based on a percentile while almost 60% are based on a numerical value. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115998
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Comparison of different question formats eliciting point predictions
Kröger, Sabine; Pierrot, Thibaud - 2019
laboratory experiment in which the participants act as forecasters and are asked to predict the next realisation of iid random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115999
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Individual expectations and aggregate behavior in learning to forecast experiments
Hommes, Cars (contributor); Lux, Thomas (contributor) - 2008
Models with heterogeneous interacting agents explain macro phenomena through interactions at the micro level. We propose genetic algorithms as a model for individual expectations to explain aggregate market phenomena. The model explains all stylized facts observed in aggregate price fluctuations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003777257
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Individual Expectations and Aggregate Macro Behavior
Assenza, Tiziana - 2011
The way in which individual expectations shape aggregate macroeconomic variables is crucial for the transmission and effectiveness of monetary policy. We study the individual expectations formation process and the interaction with monetary policy, within a standard New Keynesian model, by means...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118974
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Predicting and Understanding Initial Play
Fudenberg, Drew - 2019
We use machine learning to uncover regularities in the initial play of matrix games. We first train a prediction algorithm on data from past experiments. Examining the games where our algorithm predicts correctly, but existing economic models don't, leads us to add a parameter to the best...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900561
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Information Choice and Utilization in an Experiment on Default Prediction
Abdel-Khalik, A. Rashad - 2014
In this paper, we report the design and results of an experiment in human judgment in which decision makers were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053089
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How to Reveal People's Preferences : Comparing Time Consistency and Predictive Power of Multiple Price List Risk Elicitation Methods
Csermely, Tamás - 2015
method, the multiple price list (MPL) and its derivations. In our experiment, we find that revealed preferences differ under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027098
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Individual Expectations and Aggregate Macro Behavior
Assenza, Tiziana - 2015
The way in which individual expectations shape aggregate macroeconomic variables is crucial for the transmission and effectiveness of monetary policy. We study the individual expectations formation process and the interaction with monetary policy, within a standard New Keynesian model, by means...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036084