Campbell and Shiller’s “accounting identity” implies that the log dividend-price ratio (LDPR) predicts either returns or dividend growths, but neither is significantly predictable, a well-known puzzle. Existence of the long-term mean LDPR is an important assumption behind the accounting...

Lehman Brothers' failure in 2008 demonstrated the importance of understanding interconnectedness in interbank networks. The interbank market plays a significant role in facilitating market liquidity and providing short-term funding for each other to smooth liquidity shortages. Knowing the...

Chapter 1 System Science -- Chapter 2 Decision-Making Methods -- Chapter 3 Prediction Methods -- Chapter 4 Evaluation Methods -- Chapter 5 Optimization Algorithm -- Chapter 6 System Reliability -- Chapter 7 Game Theory -- Chapter 8 Management Simulation -- Chapter 9 Complexity Science.-Chapter...