In this article we investigate the determinants of the European “Most Cited Publications”. We use data from the European Innovation Scoreboard-EIS of the European Commission for the period 2010-2019. Data are analyzed with Panel Data with Fixed Effects, Panel Data with Random Effects, WLS,...

This paper uses some economic modelling techniques to predict the expected arrival date of AGI- Artificial General Intelligence. The average predicted date from this analysis is 2041, with a likely range of 2032 to 2048, and an estimated earliest possible arrival date of 2028, i.e. just 5 years...

Introduction to AI in Fintech -- The role of chatbots in Fintech -- Business framework of AI-based ChatGPT in Fintech -- Predictive analytics and machine learning in Fintech -- ChatGPT to decide buying behavior -- Reshaping the digital experience through ML in Fintech -- Best practices for...

The Census Bureau's 2015 Management and Organizational Practices Survey collected innovative 5-bin data on own future outcomes and probabilities for shipments, employment, capital and materials expenditures at 35,000 manufacturing plants. About 85% of plants provide logically sensible responses...

Leadership behaviors of wildland firefighting teams engaged in firefighting activities are “shared” despite the existence of a highly bureaucratic and hierarchical organizational structure. This paradoxical type of leadership appears to be based on individual perceptions of the effectiveness...

We draw on the monthly Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) to make three observations about pandemic-era uncertainty in the U.S. economy. First, equity market traders and executives of nonfinancial firms share similar assessments about uncertainty at one-year lookahead horizons. That is, the...

We develop a new monthly panel survey of business executives and a new question design that elicits subjective probability distributions over own-firm outcomes at a one-year lookahead horizon. Our Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) began in 2014 and now covers 1,500 firms drawn from all 50...

Accurate forecasting is extremely important for managers and technology planners in a rapidly evolving global environment. In this paper we apply the Gompertz model to Telecommunications growth in different countries. We conclude that although most of the European countries converge to...

Autonomous ships have received significant attention in recent years. However, they are not yet widely adopted in the maritime industry yet. A wide range of predictions have been made about when the technological change will occur. This paper analyses technologies that are critical to autonomous...

The Census Bureau’s 2015 Management and Organizational Practices Survey (MOPS) utilized innovative methodology to collect five-point forecast distributions over own future shipments, employment, and capital and materials expenditures for 35,000 U.S. manufacturing plants. First and second...