policy mix of unemployment insurance agencies. We analyze unique data on three sources of information on the probability of … re-employment within 6 months (RE6), for the same individuals sampled from the inflow into unemployment. First, they were …

the same individuals sampled from the inflow into unemployment. First, they were asked for their perceived probability of …

the same individuals sampled from the inflow into unemployment. First, they were asked for their perceived probability of …

five weeks. We suggest that the effect is most likely due to an increase in unemployment expectations. … literature investigating the economic consequences of covid-19 by showing how unemployment-related online searches across the EU … queries related to unemployment in 27 countries. We nowcast the monthly unemployment rate in the EU Member States to assess …

The prompt availability of information on the current state of the economy in real-time is required for prediction …

effects and lagged unemployment. We also use industrial firm's expectations of future employment, which are also predictive of …Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to … panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected …

predicts the unemployment rate in the EU-28 countries using Google search data. This document is subject to updates as the …

We propose an out-of-sample prediction approach that combines unrestricted mixed-data sampling with machine learning … unemployment insurance initial claims based on a rich trove of daily Google Trends search-volume data for terms related to … unemployment. The predictions are based on linear models estimated via the LASSO and elastic net, nonlinear models based on …

weighted survivor prediction method where the weights depend on the distance in characteristics between individuals. A … of distance function is less important for the performance of the weighted survivor prediction method. This yields … work from unemployment insu rance, we do not find that the weighting method outperforms Cox survivor function predictions. …