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Projection des familles, une vérification
Rallu, Jean-Louis - In: Le défi de l'incertitude nouvelles approches en …, (pp. 237-247). 1999
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001517791
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Using the pension multiple to measure retirement outcomes
Minney, Aaron; Zhu, Zili; Guo, Ying; Li, Jiaming; … - In: Finance research letters 49 (2022), pp. 1-8
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013479606
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A principal component simulation of age-specific fertility : impacts of family and social policy on reproductive behavior in Germany
Vanella, Patrizio; Deschermeier, Philipp - 2018
This contribution proposes a simulation approach for the indirect estimation of age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs …) and the total fertility rate (TFR) for Germany via time series modeling of the principal components of the ASFRs. The … probability of 75%. Based on this result, it is unlikely that the fertility level will fall back to its extremely low levels of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860247
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Spatial mobility : concepts and methodology
Hooimeijer, Pieter - In: Le défi de l'incertitude nouvelles approches en …, (pp. 273-298). 1999
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001518277
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Forecasting aggregate period birth rates : the time series properties of a microdynamic neoclassical model of fertility
Heckman, James J.; Walker, James R. - 1989
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000774916
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Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration
Hyndman, Rob J.; Booth, Heather - In: International journal of forecasting 24 (2008) 3, pp. 323-342
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764036
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Probabilistic Forecasting using Stochastic Diffusion Models, with Applications to Cohort Processes of Marriage and Fertility
Myrskylä, Mikko; Goldstein, Joshua R. - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936965
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State space models for estimating and forecasting fertility
Rueda, Cristina; Rodríguez, Pilar - In: International journal of forecasting 26 (2010) 4, pp. 712-724
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008807741
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Altersspezifische, markovkettenbasierte Fertilitätsprognose und ihre Bedeutung für die Bevölkerungs- und Wirtschaftspolitik : erweiterte und korrigierte Ausgabe
Strohner, Benjamin - 2016 - erweiterte und korrigierte Ausgabe
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011420228
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Stochastic population analysis : a functional data approach
Fang, Lei; Härdle, Wolfgang - 2015
Based on the Lee-Carter (LC) model, the benchmark in population forecasting, a variety of extensions and modifications are proposed in this paper. We investigate one of the extensions, the Hyndman-Ullah (HU) method and apply it to Asian demographic data sets: China, Japan and Taiwan. It combines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477583