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This paper quantifies the amount of noise and bias in analysts' forecast of corporate earnings at various horizons. We first show analyst forecasts outperform statistical forecasts at short-horizons, but underperform at longer horizons. We next decompose the relative accuracy of these forecasts...
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persistent rise in inflation following the COVID-19 recession. …
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techniques are applied to monthly inflation series of 21 OECD countries and it is found that average forecasting methods in …
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