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This paper reviews research that uses big data and/or machine learning methods to provide insight relevant for equity valuation. Given the huge volume of research in this area, the review focuses on studies that either use or inform on accounting variables. The article concludes by providing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433769
Unlike previous studies which have examined the role of financial analysts in developed economies, the aim of this paper is to investigate whether following the Tunisian stock market opening, both the analyst forecast accuracy and the market’s reliance on analyst forecasts, increase with time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882305
The Great Recession has been characterised by the two stylized facts: the buildup of leverage in the household sector in the period preceding the recession and a protracted economic recovery that followed. We attempt to explain these two facts as an information friction, whereby agents are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011656163
This article analyzes the manifold situations in which the efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) has influenced — or has failed to influence — federal securities regulation and state corporate law, and the prospective roles for the EMH in these contexts. In federal securities regulation, the EMH...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100915
Asset returns move predictably over the credit cycle. Using credit expansion in the nonfinancial corporate sector to capture the phase of the credit cycle, this paper shows that both equity and corporate bond returns decline as credit expansion accelerates. Impulse response analysis suggests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227019
We examine the statistical power of fundamental and behavioural factors with regards to stock returns of the Dow Jones Industrials Index. With a novel sentiment dataset from over 3.6 million Reuters news articles, we find significant correlations between Reuters sentiment and stock returns. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009303761
The Baker and Wurgler (2006) sentiment index purports to measure irrational investor sentiment, while the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is designed to largely reflect fundamentals. Removing this fundamental component from the Baker and Wurgler index creates an index of investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312208
Average skewness, which is defined as the average of monthly skewness values across firms, performs well at predicting future market returns. This result still holds after controlling for the size or liquidity of the firms or for current business cycle conditions. We also find that average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412455
In this paper, we document evidence that downside betas tend to comove more than upside betas during a financial crisis, but upside betas tend to comove more than the downside betas during financial booms. We find that the asymmetry between Downside-Beta Comovement and Upside-Beta Comovement is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442899
Noisy markets need extensive descriptions that are noisy themselves, such as deep regression trees that capture many data-local nonlinear anomalies and that do not require arbitrary weighting schemes like traditional linear multifactor models often do. Simple tools allow extraction of general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120593