This short research paper documents the fact that exclusively watching for rising yields on conventional U.S. Treasury securities to reflect increased inflationary fears in the U.S. is no longer appropriate. With the Federal Reserve seeking to keep short-term nominal yields near zero for an...

This paper examines U.S. Treasury securities and their reflection on increased inflationary fears in the US. Implications from recent monetary policy suggests conventional Treasury yields have not shown the full extent of rising fears of inflation in financial markets. In this monetary...

The Covid-19 Pandemic and policy response rattled the USTreasury markets. Conventional US Treasuries, inflation adjustedUS Treasuries, and the relationship between the two developed inways such that ignoring changes in real interest rates yielded dis-torted inflation expectations estimates....