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This paper analyses Greek fiscal sustainability from a retrospective and a prospective view. Implications of Greek fiscal (un)sustainability are discussed. In the empirical analysis econometric testing of Greek government solvency during the period 1985-2008 is combined with a scenario analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111880
We analyse the international transmission of interest rates by focusing on the role of the accumulation of international reserves and on the financing of sovereign debt. An increase in foreign exchange reserves is expected to moderate the influence of U.S. interest rates. However, a high level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504452
We study a model in which policy aims at aggregate price stability. A fiscal imbalance materializes that, if uncorrected, must cause inflation, but the imbalance may get corrected in the future with some probability. By maintaining price stability in the near term, monetary policy can buy time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014376056
Governments around the world have gone on a massive fiscal expansion in response to the Covid crisis, increasing government debt to levels not seen in 75 years. How will this debt be repaid? What role do conventional and unconventional monetary policy play? We investigate debt sustainability in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214430
This study revisits and tests empirically the Portfolio Theory of Inflation (PTI), which analyzes how the effectiveness of macroeconomic policy in open and globally financially integrated economies is influenced by global investor decisions (Bossone, The portfolio theory of inflation and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140238
The study examines the impact of fiscal and monetary policy on economic performance and stabilisation in Nigeria, Gambia, and Ghana between 1980 and 2017. In the study, the real gross domestic product and the exchange rate are used to proxy economic performance and economic stabilisation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137607
This paper explores primarily the level of international competitiveness of Greece and the degree of fit between the conditions prescribed by the optimal currency areas (OCA) theory with the actual situation in Greece. Given that Greece now shares the same currency with Germany, the de facto...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119087
For a small open economy with fixed exchange rate regime, the twin deficit hypothesis is always an interesting and relevant research topic. The aim of this research is to evaluate the effects of the government budget shocks on the current account movement in the case of the Macedonian economy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623579
Pre-Accession Transition Countries (PATCs) aim at early admittance to the monetary club. Their fiscal indicators - deficit and debt - do not show any serious symptoms. Closer scrutiny reveals, however, that the interest burden of their public debt might be underestimated, and that restructuring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431300
Blanchard (2005) suggested that active interest rate policy might induce unstable dynamics in highly-indebted economies. We examine this in a dynamic general equilibrium model where Calvo-type price rigidities provide a rationale for inflation stabilization. Unstable dynamics can occur when the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349206