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Elevated levels of government debt raise concerns about their effects on long-term growth prospects. Using the cross section of US stock returns, we show that (i) high-R&D firms are more exposed to government debt and pay higher expected returns than low-R&D firms; and (ii) higher levels of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962223
In this paper, we compare growth and welfare effects of various budget rules within an endogenous growth model with productive public capital, utility enhancing public consumption and public debt. We find that introducing a fixed deficit regime does not affect the long run growth rate compared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117726
We present an endogenous growth model with externalities of capital and elastic labour supply where we allow for public debt and public spending that is welfare enhancing. We analyze effects of different debt policies on stability and how these policies affect long-run growth and welfare. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014210096
To understand mixed evidence provided by empirical studies for the relationship between the accumulation of public debt and economic growth, it is necessary to consider not only the crowd-out effect of public debt on economic growth but also the growth-enhancing crowd-in effect that cannot be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860081
In this paper we analyze effects of public debt on the long-run allocation of resources in a basic endogenous growth model with infinitely lived households. The government levies an income tax and issues government bonds to finance unproductive public spending. We demonstrate that in the case of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014175681
This paper investigates fiscal sustainability in an overlapping generations economy with endogenous growth coming from human capital formation through educational spending. We assess how budgetary imbalances affect economic dynamics and the outlook for economic growth, thereby providing a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319069
In this note we work out the mechanism that makes public debt affect the allocation of resources in the long-run. To do so we analyze an AK growth model with elastic labour supply and a government sector. The government levies a distortionary income tax and issues bonds to finance both lump-sum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112405
The paper analyses fiscal sustainability of public debt using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model. First, we identify the short-term risk for fiscal stress at country level; second, we investigate the assumption of convergence towards the government debt threshold (medium-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011264209
This paper analyzes the impact of consumer uncertainty on optimal fiscal policy in a model with capital. The consumers lack confidence about the probability model that characterizes the stochastic environment and so apply a max–min operator to their optimization problem. An altruistic fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907069
A key property of the Aiyagari-type heterogeneous-agent models is that the equilibrium interest rate of public debt lies below the time discount rate. This fundamental property, however, implies that the Ramsey planner's fiscal policy may be time-inconsistent because the forward-looking planner...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048725