Given the huge private debt in Cyprus, the risk of a recession is very high because of the compelling need for households and corporations to repair their balance sheets. The Central Bank now admits that it may take 10 years to tackle the huge non-performing loans problem. What they do not...

The authors discuss the role of private debt in financial crises and attempt to apply the debt deflation logic to the data and facts surrounding the post bail-in years in Cyprus. It is found that the financial crisis in Cyprus was indeed predictable and that a key problem facing the country...