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Along time the European Union (EU) has been pointed as the most succeeded example of regional integration. Now, this example has been cruelly shaken by the EZ (Euro Zone) crisis, originating increasing doubts about the integration process. It is evident that the proposed solutions for attacking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011515832
We introduce a methodology for measuring default risk connectedness that is based on an out-of-sample variance decomposition of model forecast errors. The out-of-sample nature of the procedure leads to "realized" measures which, in practice, respond more quickly to crisis occurrences than those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503874
economic booms in some peripheral Euro-zone countries financed by large capital inflows; the credit and asset price booms and … Latin American audiences. For those Euro-zone countries that built up large Euro-denominated external liabilities, Latin …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286667
We investigate the relationship of the market pricing of sovereign risk to default, through CDS spreads for 16 Eurozone … discrimination between South and West Euro Area Periphery (SWEAP) and the core Eurozone, highlighting asymmetries discovered either … words, the “fragility hypothesis of the Eurozone” …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976894
This paper analyzes the Euro crisis in light of the experience of center-periphery relations over the last 40 years of renewed financial globalization. The crisis shows the characteristic pattern evident in so many other crises in the developing world: i.e. “boom” and “bust” phases of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978352
European banks have been criticized for holding excessive domestic government debt during the recent Eurozone crisis … covering the entire timeline of the Eurozone crisis, I first re-confirm that the crisis led to the reallocation of sovereign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012123037
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more … remarkable: the core Eurozone members become less vulnerable to EUZ contagion, possibly due to a safe-heaven effect, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
This paper reviews the performance of the euro area since the euro's launch 20 years ago. It argues that the euro crisis has exposed existential flaws in the euro regime. Intra-area divergences and the corresponding buildup of imbalances had remained unchecked prior to the crisis. As those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011894027
Advanced economies borrowed substantially during the Covid recession to fund their fiscal policy. The Covid recession differed from the Great Recession in that sovereign debt markets remained calm and spreads barely responded. We study the experience of Greece, the most extreme manifestation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468244
We build a tractable stylized model of external sovereign debt and endogenous international interest rates. In corrupt economies with rent-seeking groups stealing public resources, a politico-economic equilibrium is characterized by permanent fiscal impatience which leads to excessive issuing of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121867