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Episodes of high inflation are generally accompanied by a shortening of the maturity of nominal debt contracts. This … and the maturity structure of nominal bonds. The model shows that under the presence of a small risk of price … a negative relationship between inflation and maturity. The paper shows evidence of this negative correlation from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134991
In this paper we empirically explore the relationship between debt and output in a panel of 72 countries over the period 1970-2014 using a vector autoregression (VAR). We document two puzzling empirical findings that contrast with what is predicted by a standard small open economy model by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012315471
Governments face a trade-off between insuring bondholders and taxpayers. If the government fully insures bondholders by manufacturing risk-free zero-beta debt, then it cannot also insure taxpayers against permanent macroeconomic shocks over long horizons. Instead, taxpayers will pay more in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437854
. The prevalence of maturity extensions has been hard to reconcile with economic theory. We develop a model of endogenous …Sovereign debt crises involve debt restructurings characterized by a mix of face-value haircuts and maturity extensions … negative maturity extensions, three factors are important in overcoming the effects of dilution and generating maturity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011911551
productivity. A quantitative model of news and sovereign debt default with endogenous maturity choice generates impulse responses … precision of news allows the government to improve its debt maturity management, especially during periods of high stress in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011950496
This paper extends the baseline framework used in recent quantitative studies of sovereign default by assuming that the government can borrow using long-duration bonds. This contrasts with previous studies, which assume the government can borrow using bonds that mature after one quarter. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096677
We study the relationship between default and the maturity structure of the debt portfolio of a Sovereign, under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045943
This study develops a novel model of endogenous sovereign debt maturity choice that rationalizes various stylized facts … about debt maturity and the yield spread curve: first, sovereign debt duration and maturity generally exceed one year, and …, output volatility, sudden stops, impatience and risk aversion are key determinants of maturity, both in our model and in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014088092
fiscal theory directly depend on the conditional nominal term premium, giving rise to an optimal debt maturity policy that is …This paper examines how the transmission of government portfolio risk arising from maturity operations depends on the … stance of monetary/fiscal policy. Accounting for risk premia in the fiscal theory allows the government portfolio to affect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012670322
We examine the welfare effects of bailouts in economies exposed to sovereign default risk. When a government of a small open economy requests a bailout from an international financial institution, it receives a non-defaultable loan of size G that comes with imposed debt limits. The government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160653