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The existing empirical literature on the US federal revenue-expenditure nexus has had mixed findings. Amongst those papers presenting evidence in favor of causation running from taxes to expenditures, support for the conventional, Friedman-type tax-spend hypothesis is nearly ubiquitous. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724482
Do voters punish governments that introduce fiscal "austerity" measures? If so, does voter response vary according to the design (composition) of fiscal adjustments? What determines the timing of fiscal consolidations? The empirical literature on the political economy of fiscal adjustments,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052149
breaks, the study finds evidence of a cointegration relation between the government revenues and spending. The results did … difficulties in financing its debts in the long run. Lastly, the short run and long run Granger causality results, while providing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011487675
We investigate state-dependent effects of fiscal multipliers and allow for endogenous sample splitting to determine whether the US economy is in a slack state. When the endogenized slack state is estimated as the period of the unemployment rate higher than about 12 percent, the estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012237148
The empirical literature using vector autoregressive models to assess the effects of fiscal policy shocks strongly disagrees on even the qualitative response of key macroeconomic variables to government spending and tax shocks. We provide new evidence for the U.S. over the period 1955-2006. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012766572
Changes in the population age structure can have a significant effect on fiscal sustainability since they can affect both government revenues and expenditures. For example, population aging will increase expenditures on the elderly while reducing potential growth and hence revenues. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011579017
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autoregression (VAR) method along with the Granger causality test (1969). The empirical findings indicate that there is a uni …-directional causality running from spending to tax revenue. In other words, our findings support the spend-and-tax hypothesis for fiscal … discipline in Turkey over the period of 1975 - 2011. Since there is a uni-directional causality, running from government spending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010480260
The share of public investment relative to consumption expenditure has declined in past decades. Earlier literature has attributed this stylised fact variably to the relative political ease of cutting investment; different cyclical patterns of public investment and consumption; or to EMU’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014201204