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In this paper we have applied two approaches to the study of the dollar real exchange rate in relation with the Euro …-area currencies. First, using dynamic panel techniques, we estimate an error correction model for the dollar real exchange rate versus … seven developed countries, four of them Euro-area members. Second, we aggregate the European variables and estimate a model …
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This paper extends earlier studies on exchange rate expectations' formation by using new data and adding information about forecasters' reliance on fundamental analysis for the first time. We replicate the conventional result of non rational expectations. Moreover, biases in expectations are...
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This paper proposes a simple chartist-fundamentalist model in which we allow for nonlinear time variation in chartists' extrapolation rate. Estimation of the model using monthly data for the major currencies vis-a-vis the US dollar shows that the model is significant in-sample and that it has...
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panel cointegration techniques to derive fully countryspecific measures of misalignment and measures based on panel …-of-sample performance prior to comparing it to two final panel specifications. Robustness of the results is supported by recently introduced … cross-sectionally augmented panel unit root tests by Pesaran (2007) and bootstrapped error correction-based panel …
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