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This paper provides a global analysis of capital flow impacts on GDP for selected emerging economies. As additional control variables, we also include currency reserves and effective exchange rates in our analysis. We distinguish between gross and net capital flows and also assess the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776962
After the 1980s, capital flows have accelerated in the less developed countries and since Salter's seminal paper in 1959, it has been widely accepted that the real exchange rate respond to capital flows. Based on a simple model derived by Sjaastad and Manzur (1996) along the lines of Salter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135346
This paper studies various approaches to the equilibrium real effective exchange rate estimation, including structural and direct estimation approaches. It shows their strengths and weaknesses with application to the case of Latvia. Despite the approaches differing considerably in terms of their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890484
Meese and Rogoff (1983) and subsequent studies find that economic fundamentals are apparently not able to explain exchange rate movements, but we argue that this so-called "Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle" arose because researchers such as Meese and Rogoff (1983) did not use the right...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502367
We identify variables that help explain the persistent weakness of the Norwegian krone since 2016 within a fully simultaneous model of the underlying process driving the krone-euro exchange rate. In addition to a set of fundamental variables we consider non-traditional explanatory variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013257136
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252490
using cointegration approach, unobserved component model and structural vector autoregression (SVAR). The paper uses these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073319
This paper examines the links between capital inflows and the real exchange rate under pegged exchange rates. The analytical framework is described, and a near-VAR model linking capital inflows, interest rate differentials, government spending, money base velocity, and the temporary component of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781975
The paper's objective is to examine whether the Indian Rupee was fairly valued as of end March 2015. First, the movements of the trade weighted real effective exchange rate (REER) of the Rupee are tracked over the last ten years. Next, the underpinnings of the Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson effect,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011284447
I study the determinants of capital flows to Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, assessing the relative importance of domestic and global factors. I estimate six VECM models, one for each Latin American country plus the Euro Area, Japan, and USA, and then embed them in a multi-country Global VAR. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728441