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This paper provides empirical evidence that combinations of option implied and time series volatility forecasts that are conditional on current information are statistically superior to individual models, unconditional combinations, and hybrid forecasts. Superior forecasting performance is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322599
methods. The effects of several model characteristics(unit roots, GARCH, stochastic volatility, heavy tailed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324426
methods. The effects ofseveral modelcharacteristics (unit roots, GARCH, stochastic volatility, heavy taileddisturbance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324963
This paper studies the impact of political events that systematically undermined the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) on the euro's foreign exchange expectation bias for the period 2001 to 2005. Our findings suggest that euro foreign exchange markets were attentive to the political dispute over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334518
intervention. Based on a GARCH framework and change point detection, we test for a structural break in the effectiveness of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604696
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000539744
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008822753
This paper studies the impact of political events that systematically undermined the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) on the euro's foreign exchange expectation bias for the period 2001 to 2005. Our findings suggest that euro foreign exchange markets were attentive to the political dispute over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009569731