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Followers of law, politics and business commonly relate stories of individuals who appear to predict an expected self-performance level below what they believe likely. Candidates, attorneys and firms sometimes seem to under-predict their own capacities. Insofar as individuals typically construct...
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New Keynesian theory identifies a set of principles central to the design and implementation of monetary policy. These principles rely on the ability of a central bank to manage expectations precisely, with policy prescriptions typically derived under the assumption of perfect information and...
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policymaker's present and past actions, for example through learning and estimation of variables or parameters, policy affects …
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expectations, have incomplete information about the working of the economy and form expectations through an adaptive learning … expectations and of learning. The main findings are the followings: (i) under learning, price dynamics in 2015-16 is on average 0 … repeated deflationary shocks; (ii) the learning process implies a (data-driven) de-anchoring of inflation expectations from the …
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